Five tools, one bet, four minutes.

A player's points prop, over 24.5 at −115. Convert the price. Strip the vig. Get our projection and his hit rate. Run the EV. Size it with Kelly. Log it. The book walks that exact session, with the numbers, and then does it again for every bet type.

Get the book
  1. Odds Converter — −115 is 53.5% implied
  2. Devig — fair over is 51.1%
  3. Projections and Splits — our number says 58%
  4. EV Calculator — about +$8 per $100
  5. Kelly — a quarter-Kelly unit, about $24 on $1,000
  6. The Receipt — logged at −115; it closed −125